Champions League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fcc78723008ca658ef3a1a199fe31e4dfc0eb9f508031770f9227445d8fe1cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,758 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fb…dcf9backed Yes | 0c | 4,674$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 11c | 1,087$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…5e54backed Yes | 31c | 520$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…55c6backed Yes | 31c | 379$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…ed9abacked Yes | 31c | 356$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…fc66backed No | 69c | 284$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…3e2fbacked No | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…4b4cbacked No | 69c | 252$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…15ebbacked No | 69c | 236$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…ef15backed No | 69c | 224$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 31c | 149$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 32c | 125.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 101.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…abd1backed No | 69c | 71.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…b7a3backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 67c | 16.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC leading at halftime?this page
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?No won
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.