CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95e2ae6d00c41cbb40d0c64907a589c282e8d005b2b9bb297ef34b8004d1e1be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Omega, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,321 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Ursa | 63c | 8,897$5,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.77 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Omega | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.99 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Omega | 37c | 3,300$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.99 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 60c | 3,130$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.36 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Omega | 37c | 2,250$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…c2d9backed Ursa | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Ursa | 63c | 1,646$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.96 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Omega | 38c | 1,473$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.31 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Ursa | 63c | 1,297$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.33 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 19c | 1,215$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Omega | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Omega | 40c | 1,198$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.5 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa | 62c | 1,180$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.38 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Omega | 30c | 1,164$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.45 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Omega | 37c | 1,070$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.09 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Ursa | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Ursa | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Ursa | 52c | 972$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.56 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Ursa | 59c | 957.61$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.47 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Omega | 38c | 895$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.1 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Ursa | 64c | 825.63$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.63 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Omega | 38c | 824.07$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.95 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Ursa | 65c | 804.83$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.83 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Omega | 40c | 799.39$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.44 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Ursa | 58c | 700$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.61 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Omega | 41c | 695.37$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.1 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Omega | 36c | 597.55$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.03 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Omega | 36c | 547$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.62 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40d…20a1backed Omega | 37c | 538.24$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Omega | 37c | 513.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ursa | 62c | 511.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.28 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1afdbacked Omega | 38c | 457.78$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80c…d40cbacked Ursa | 52c | 443.77$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Omega | 37c | 425$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Omega | 47c | 399.87$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Omega | 37c | 372.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 76c | 366.88$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Omega | 35c | 354.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…595fbacked Ursa | 63c | 352.33$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…e990backed Omega | 41c | 343$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Ursa | 73c | 315.41$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Omega | 37c | 303.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Omega | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Ursa | 54c | 261.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Omega | 35c | 256.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Ursa | 54c | 255.95$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Omega | 11c | 242.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Omega | 38c | 221$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2241…b0f0backed Ursa | 64c | 219.25$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Omega | 44c | 208.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Omega | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Omega | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Ursa | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Omega | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Omega | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…f557backed Ursa | 62c | 197.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ursa | 53c | 188.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Omega | 38c | 187$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Omega | 37c | 183.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Omega | 10c | 182.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Omega | 13c | 181$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Ursa | 56c | 179.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Omega | 29c | 171.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Omega | 37c | 163.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7b93backed Omega | 37c | 163.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 71c | 152.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Ursa | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Omega | 47c | 149.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Ursa | 66c | 149.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed Omega | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Omega | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a10…fc55backed Omega | 37c | 137$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Omega | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa8…afb6backed Omega | 37c | 132$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Ursa | 64c | 120.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Omega | 39c | 116.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked Omega | 37c | 114.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Omega | 33c | 112.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…c177backed Omega | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Omega | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Omega | 36c | 100.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed Omega | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Omega | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Omega | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Ursa | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Omega | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Omega | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Omega | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Omega | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ursa | 79c | 82.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Omega | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Omega | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…bfd8backed Omega | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…2253backed Ursa | 64c | 78.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Omega | 37c | 77.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Ursa | 63c | 76.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Omega | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Omega | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Omega | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Omega | 38c | 69.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)Ursa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.