Lol · resolved market
LoL: NOVEX vs VARREL YOUTH (BO3) - LJL Stage 2 - Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1bc34de1f18917a79e3b058409d5a4ecfde671f86c485450d0358be8f62d9a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NOVEXof NOVEX, VARREL YOUTH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,113 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked NOVEX | 46c | 13,283$6,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,117.63 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed VARREL YOUTH | 53c | 4,668$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.82 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed VARREL YOUTH | 49c | 3,466$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.08 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed VARREL YOUTH | 52c | 2,502$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked VARREL YOUTH | 49c | 1,124$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…17fbbacked VARREL YOUTH | 54c | 834.3$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked VARREL YOUTH | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NOVEX | 50c | 719.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.03 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked VARREL YOUTH | 57c | 646.12$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.12 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked VARREL YOUTH | 54c | 615$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.1 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed NOVEX | 51c | 601.8$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.02 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed VARREL YOUTH | 50c | 543.53$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.77 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed VARREL YOUTH | 55c | 528.45$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.02 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed VARREL YOUTH | 49c | 499.8$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NOVEX | 50c | 384.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.33 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…0caebacked VARREL YOUTH | 54c | 351.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed VARREL YOUTH | 49c | 322.36$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 307 | 42%129 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VARREL YOUTH | 4c | 269.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed VARREL YOUTH | 49c | 248.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked VARREL YOUTH | 50c | 238.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed VARREL YOUTH | 52c | 229.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 363 | 34.4%125 W · 238 L | -21.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…4bc4backed VARREL YOUTH | 56c | 223.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed VARREL YOUTH | 49c | 210.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed VARREL YOUTH | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked VARREL YOUTH | 54c | 176.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked VARREL YOUTH | 41c | 119.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed NOVEX | 50c | 113.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed VARREL YOUTH | 59c | 108$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed NOVEX | 47c | 105.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…6816backed VARREL YOUTH | 54c | 105.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked VARREL YOUTH | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked VARREL YOUTH | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked VARREL YOUTH | 22c | 90.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed NOVEX | 70c | 82.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed VARREL YOUTH | 54c | 78.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed VARREL YOUTH | 56c | 69.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed VARREL YOUTH | 22c | 69.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NOVEX | 48c | 59.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed VARREL YOUTH | 34c | 58.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked VARREL YOUTH | 27c | 53.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked NOVEX | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed VARREL YOUTH | 52c | 51.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed VARREL YOUTH | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NOVEX | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked NOVEX | 50c | 37.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb639…7d57backed VARREL YOUTH | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed NOVEX | 42c | 35.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed NOVEX | 46c | 32.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed VARREL YOUTH | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked NOVEX | 53c | 29.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed NOVEX | 54c | 26.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed VARREL YOUTH | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed NOVEX | 52c | 24.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed NOVEX | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…c1cbbacked VARREL YOUTH | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…433dbacked VARREL YOUTH | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3f…7d4abacked NOVEX | 76c | 18.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed NOVEX | 79c | 17.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…037fbacked NOVEX | 74c | 13.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NOVEX vs VARREL YOUTH (BO3) - LJL Stage 2 - Group Athis page
- LoL: NOVEX vs VARREL YOUTH - Game 1 WinnerNOVEX won
- LoL: NOVEX vs VARREL YOUTH - Game 2 WinnerNOVEX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.