Lol · resolved market
LoL: New Meta vs L Guide Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15760ac9e54723f75f7d05822ecbce3e8058a67cf88b29c9029dff252474d522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L Guide Gamingof New Meta, L Guide Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked L Guide Gaming | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked New Meta | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L Guide Gaming | 43c | 3,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked New Meta | 58c | 1,854$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.94 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked New Meta | 57c | 1,741$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.39 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed New Meta | 43c | 1,212$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.38 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed New Meta | 55c | 1,182$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.63 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked L Guide Gaming | 60c | 1,029$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.83 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked New Meta | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed L Guide Gaming | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked L Guide Gaming | 44c | 777.56$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.49 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L Guide Gaming | 40c | 696.48$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.24 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed New Meta | 56c | 690.46$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.02 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked L Guide Gaming | 46c | 644.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.29 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…e0babacked New Meta | 53c | 564.15$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3074…0d96backed L Guide Gaming | 48c | 519.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed L Guide Gaming | 45c | 471.94$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.2 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked L Guide Gaming | 44c | 257.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed L Guide Gaming | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed New Meta | 54c | 240.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New Meta | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed L Guide Gaming | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed L Guide Gaming | 80c | 132.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 151 | 66.2%100 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked New Meta | 50c | 100.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -68%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked New Meta | 52c | 80.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed New Meta | 60c | 60.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked L Guide Gaming | 47c | 58.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked New Meta | 50c | 55.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…e36dbacked New Meta | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed New Meta | 53c | 48.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked New Meta | 26c | 47.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked New Meta | 22c | 45.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed L Guide Gaming | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed New Meta | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed New Meta | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…6cb4backed L Guide Gaming | 51c | 25.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L Guide Gaming | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed New Meta | 57c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked New Meta | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.