CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Team Novaq (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b1fea3c3037f2bfff54007bf5c4930054c33ad1464bb620acec223d36b70a69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, Team Novaq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,646 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Team Novaq | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked illwill | 60c | 1,350$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.45 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Team Novaq | 39c | 1,333$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.86 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 62c | 1,081$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.85 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed illwill | 64c | 1,016$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.32 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Novaq | 37c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.03 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed illwill | 59c | 920.64$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed illwill | 60c | 863.71$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.68 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Novaq | 37c | 803.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Team Novaq | 40c | 771.25$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.73 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Team Novaq | 38c | 699$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.33 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Novaq | 38c | 650.79$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…2014backed illwill | 62c | 640.69$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.69 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Novaq | 38c | 632.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed illwill | 63c | 624$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.62 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Novaq | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked illwill | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed illwill | 63c | 477.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Novaq | 40c | 470.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed illwill | 68c | 445.91$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Team Novaq | 36c | 357.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Team Novaq | 39c | 333$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Team Novaq | 32c | 329.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed illwill | 66c | 316.01$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Team Novaq | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Novaq | 38c | 274.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed illwill | 62c | 264.52$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked illwill | 63c | 238.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Novaq | 29c | 230$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…c2f0backed Team Novaq | 44c | 229.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed illwill | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked illwill | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Team Novaq | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed illwill | 63c | 182.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed illwill | 60c | 167.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed illwill | 60c | 166.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed illwill | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed illwill | 60c | 151.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Team Novaq | 40c | 151.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Team Novaq | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Novaq | 35c | 138.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Novaq | 40c | 125.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Team Novaq | 36c | 122.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked illwill | 58c | 115.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Team Novaq | 38c | 103.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Team Novaq | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Novaq | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked illwill | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked illwill | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked illwill | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Novaq | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Team Novaq | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Novaq | 38c | 91.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked illwill | 62c | 90.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Team Novaq | 40c | 89.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked illwill | 60c | 86.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed illwill | 61c | 82.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Novaq | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked illwill | 67c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Novaq | 36c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed illwill | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed illwill | 62c | 69.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed illwill | 57c | 69.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ba…834bbacked Team Novaq | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Team Novaq | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Novaq | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked illwill | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed illwill | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked illwill | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…4d15backed Team Novaq | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed illwill | 65c | 56.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed illwill | 60c | 54.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed illwill | 47c | 54.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed illwill | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Novaq | 41c | 52.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Team Novaq | 31c | 47.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Novaq | 39c | 46.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked illwill | 62c | 46.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Team Novaq | 40c | 38.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed illwill | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked illwill | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Team Novaq | 34c | 29.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed illwill | 63c | 27.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed illwill | 61c | 27.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Team Novaq | 37c | 27.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Team Novaq | 41c | 25.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Team Novaq | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed illwill | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Team Novaq (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Team Novaq - Map 1 Winnerillwill won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.