CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54554494fbce90bf330a763527645e22649b4adbbe935763adb3f99a86af3380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof VP.Prodigy, WHITEBIRD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,140 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 1,257$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.07 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked WHITEBIRD | 68c | 614.97$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.73 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VP.Prodigy | 32c | 551.34$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 531.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.8 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed WHITEBIRD | 74c | 491.51$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed VP.Prodigy | 11c | 467.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.14 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed WHITEBIRD | 74c | 427.03$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…17fbbacked WHITEBIRD | 72c | 376.06$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed VP.Prodigy | 72c | 278.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed WHITEBIRD | 72c | 252.43$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.84 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 201.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed WHITEBIRD | 76c | 188.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 173.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked WHITEBIRD | 76c | 169.86$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed WHITEBIRD | 72c | 139.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked WHITEBIRD | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WHITEBIRD | 49c | 130.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6f5ebacked WHITEBIRD | 79c | 125.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed WHITEBIRD | 54c | 100.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VP.Prodigy | 16c | 97.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked VP.Prodigy | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked WHITEBIRD | 48c | 81.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 81.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked WHITEBIRD | 80c | 75.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 71.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked WHITEBIRD | 70c | 65.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked VP.Prodigy | 50c | 60.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 59.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 46.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked WHITEBIRD | 66c | 42.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…41a5backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 40.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…4b19backed WHITEBIRD | 72c | 33.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed WHITEBIRD | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked WHITEBIRD | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked WHITEBIRD | 70c | 21.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked WHITEBIRD | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed WHITEBIRD | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs WHITEBIRD - Map 1 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.