Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: T1 vs. AG.AL
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9414b83a55594879ea98d95dabf07405489574d2c86e0ddf2be21b2b1aa20ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AG.ALof T1, AG.AL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $619,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $758,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $619,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked T1 | 47c | 224,216$105,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,717.68 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed AG.AL | 52c | 157,878$81,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,046.99 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…e2edbacked AG.AL | 53c | 103,616$54,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,699.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed T1 | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed T1 | 41c | 23,075$9,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,462.36 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked AG.AL | 72c | 13,634$9,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…acdabacked T1 | 2c | 11,119$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed T1 | 21c | 7,828$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.07 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed T1 | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked AG.AL | 59c | 6,946$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.27 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed AG.AL | 72c | 6,669$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.53 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed T1 | 6c | 6,222$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.22 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked T1 | 41c | 5,647$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed T1 | 15c | 4,640$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.88 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked AG.AL | 72c | 4,529$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.73 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…0f3fbacked T1 | 31c | 4,119$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked AG.AL | 52c | 4,080$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed T1 | 13c | 3,953$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.97 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed AG.AL | 72c | 3,847$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.03 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked T1 | 2c | 3,800$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…6c15backed T1 | 1c | 3,434$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed T1 | 3c | 3,430$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…c23cbacked AG.AL | 54c | 3,358$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed AG.AL | 53c | 3,300$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed T1 | 41c | 3,165$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.93 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…80e2backed T1 | 11c | 3,022$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed AG.AL | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed T1 | 50c | 2,881$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.11 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked T1 | 48c | 2,099$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.56 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed T1 | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked T1 | 43c | 1,798$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…c5ffbacked T1 | 28c | 1,780$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed T1 | 37c | 1,527$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.38 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed T1 | 23c | 1,443$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.89 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked AG.AL | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed AG.AL | 53c | 1,191$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.6 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked T1 | 49c | 1,154$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.34 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…4919backed T1 | 3c | 1,089$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked T1 | 11c | 1,050$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed AG.AL | 50c | 1,022$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.71 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked T1 | 51c | 1,002$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.08 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed T1 | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…7ca4backed T1 | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…8ba6backed AG.AL | 72c | 985.14$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed AG.AL | 53c | 951.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.81 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed AG.AL | 55c | 907.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.34 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed T1 | 49c | 857.14$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked AG.AL | 73c | 808.59$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.32 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…a7abbacked T1 | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…d597backed T1 | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…652bbacked T1 | 45c | 781.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…4577backed T1 | 28c | 776.02$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked AG.AL | 52c | 768.32$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked AG.AL | 54c | 738$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…5f52backed AG.AL | 73c | 720$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…0aaabacked T1 | 8c | 708$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd8…24b2backed T1 | 15c | 682.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed AG.AL | 48c | 599.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed T1 | 30c | 573.33$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked AG.AL | 51c | 527.84$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.64 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed T1 | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…16a5backed AG.AL | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed AG.AL | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked T1 | 47c | 435.5$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abd…a6acbacked T1 | 2c | 430$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…c535backed T1 | 15c | 422.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed AG.AL | 78c | 419.6$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed T1 | 48c | 408.32$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed T1 | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed T1 | 17c | 399$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed AG.AL | 69c | 394.81$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed T1 | 41c | 385$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed T1 | 7c | 354.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed T1 | 41c | 353.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…0e43backed T1 | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked T1 | 49c | 333$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed T1 | 34c | 326$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked T1 | 8c | 323.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3385…f507backed T1 | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed T1 | 46c | 306$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed AG.AL | 51c | 305.79$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed T1 | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed T1 | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked T1 | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed AG.AL | 49c | 278$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked AG.AL | 73c | 275.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed T1 | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed T1 | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…c828backed T1 | 49c | 215.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed T1 | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f52…0380backed T1 | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked T1 | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…ee3cbacked T1 | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed T1 | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed T1 | 30c | 199.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed T1 | 51c | 195.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed T1 | 51c | 195.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed AG.AL | 53c | 189.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked AG.AL | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed AG.AL | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.