Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93b51a3af3357b7bae1f2d6804414712a32b4eb3b815a12522fcafab6d7d350f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH) RedHawksof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Massachusetts Minutemen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 54c | 30,093$16,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,185.35 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 18,000$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,720 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 11,703$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,263.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769.97 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 6,250$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.98 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 5,170$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.51 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 2,050$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 46c | 1,272$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.12 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 54c | 1,179$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.53 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 976.67$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.11 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 726.42$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 565$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.45 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 471$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…0e8cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 287.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 287$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 208.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…c45bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 176.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 170.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 151.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 131.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…1df3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 47.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 42.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 60c | 35.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 35.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 33.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…72bdbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 27.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 24.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 22.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-3.5)this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts MinutemenMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 161.5Over won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-2.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.