WNBA · resolved market
Sky vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcc11f13b0596f18ce37da6448e73dcef00de94860132220b39a25441530ce72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Sky, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Sky | 24c | 9,701$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.79 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sky | 4c | 6,662$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.78 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Valkyries | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Valkyries | 76c | 4,426$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.84 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 22c | 3,005$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.15 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Valkyries | 77c | 2,440$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Valkyries | 78c | 1,652$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.13 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…430cbacked Valkyries | 78c | 1,201$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sky | 2c | 1,095$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sky | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Valkyries | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Sky | 24c | 984$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Valkyries | 77c | 883.12$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.12 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sky | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sky | 22c | 647$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.69 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Sky | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Valkyries | 75c | 223.16$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Sky | 35c | 196.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Sky | 11c | 183$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Sky | 23c | 173$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Sky | 22c | 145.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Sky | 36c | 142.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Valkyries | 56c | 142.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Sky | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Valkyries | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Sky | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Sky | 33c | 90.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 22c | 79.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Valkyries | 78c | 76.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Sky | 25c | 68.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Valkyries | 78c | 66.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Sky | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Valkyries | 79c | 59.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…61d5backed Valkyries | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sky | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Valkyries | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…436bbacked Valkyries | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.