MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1550596af65917db37dedd116a3523d68bc82841e435ab226b38e7b1fd4a640d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 47c | 44,444$20,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,888.33 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 19,792$10,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,397.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 9,406$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.79 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 5,544$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.84 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 55c | 4,071$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.15 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 53c | 3,836$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 63c | 1,694$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.73 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,581$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 19c | 1,376$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 1,230$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 53c | 1,002$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 975$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Under | 47c | 660$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 56c | 626$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.44 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 506.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 460$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 442.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 45c | 416.66$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 78c | 415$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Over | 54c | 413.85$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 71c | 373.45$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.94 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 45c | 277.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…418abacked Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 215.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 55c | 175.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Over | 55c | 173.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 149.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 43c | 82.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 52.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 53c | 47.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 54c | 44.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Over | 55c | 37.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Over | 55c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 45c | 36.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Over | 48c | 33.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Over | 55c | 31.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 72c | 29.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…b710backed Over | 49c | 26.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 47c | 23.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 21.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 53c | 20.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.