MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x600d406c553265efff73439bac1017771e90d815d67e8e8b34d7aa24fa3effae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 12,432$5,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,604.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 57c | 10,143$5,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,767.47 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 8,666$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,757.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 8,141$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,330.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Over | 67c | 4,329$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.39 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 54c | 1,560$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 34c | 1,408$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 24c | 1,272$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.38 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 1c | 1,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 33c | 975$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 30c | 892.59$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.77 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 33c | 728$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.89 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 4c | 710$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 34c | 647.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 79c | 350$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 346.29$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…81f8backed Over | 67c | 298.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 295.53$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.53 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 20c | 212.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 210.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 41c | 197.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 36c | 173.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Over | 57c | 157.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 74c | 145.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 43c | 138.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 28c | 123.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 12c | 108.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 107.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 42c | 94.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 42c | 93.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…33c9backed Over | 47c | 91.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 28c | 77.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 31c | 75.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 43c | 69.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 78c | 51.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 32c | 48.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Under | 42c | 45.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 54c | 38.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 38.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 60c | 34.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 50c | 33.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 28.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 63c | 28.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 77c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 77c | 26.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…b710backed Over | 69c | 19.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 68c | 18.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 67c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.