MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b895ee896f4d79ba2cd9b08dc2ac8ff879f66d6aa596ce092911e7b8aba38ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 46c | 104,320$48,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,878.04 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 64,138$35,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,732.22 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 21,111$11,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,611.05 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 19,829$9,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,311.08 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 7,003$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.64 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 28c | 6,859$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 6,462$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 52c | 3,676$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.38 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 53c | 3,302$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.14 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 53c | 3,302$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.14 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 53c | 2,969$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.07 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 53c | 2,836$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.22 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 48c | 2,030$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.76 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,629$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.07 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 1,421$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.28 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 48c | 1,277$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.83 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 1,276$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Under | 38c | 1,259$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.86 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 52c | 1,001$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.52 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 27c | 954.4$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 53c | 942.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.62 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 901$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.62 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 48c | 851.06$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.55 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 48c | 851.06$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.55 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 847.54$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 53c | 683$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.99 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 53c | 667.75$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.91 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 51c | 585.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 585$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 53c | 563.6$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.71 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 53c | 381$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.93 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 53c | 381$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.93 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 53c | 374.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 53c | 367.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.91 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 340$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.73 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 53c | 337.31$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 334.52$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 45c | 313.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 53c | 311.17$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 28c | 278.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.12 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 240.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 225.38$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 69c | 209$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Over | 60c | 201.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 53c | 188.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…69aabacked Under | 53c | 186.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 51c | 175.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 154.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 60c | 148.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 53c | 145.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 53c | 131.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 127$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 48c | 124.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 66c | 112.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 292 | 51%149 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 53c | 98.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Under | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 53c | 81.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 28c | 72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 18c | 70.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Under | 53c | 67.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 55c | 66.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 55c | 56.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…a931backed Under | 74c | 50.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 72c | 47.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 72c | 40.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 53c | 37.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 36.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 71c | 36.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 74c | 33.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 48c | 31.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 53c | 31.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 53c | 31.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 53c | 26.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 48c | 26.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 53c | 24.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 75c | 22.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 16.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 77c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.