TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Baylor Bears vs. Houston Cougars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houston Cougarsof Baylor Bears, Houston Cougars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,498 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x026a…1381backed Houston Cougars78c16,471$12,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,645.36666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Baylor Bears37c15,939$5,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,950.875056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Baylor Bears19c11,501$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.383435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Houston Cougars62c10,111$6,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.5631646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Houston Cougars79c8,735$6,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.8449345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Houston Cougars66c5,979$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.052,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Baylor Bears37c5,362$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.915243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baylor Bears22c5,345$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.11,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Baylor Bears10c4,840$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Houston Cougars70c4,259$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.282,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Houston Cougars65c3,460$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.572,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Baylor Bears24c2,591$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.441,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Baylor Bears15c2,400$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.64825%12 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Baylor Bears23c2,224$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.0134943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baylor Bears24c2,194$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.685,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Baylor Bears42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84034343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Houston Cougars80c1,904$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.269771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Houston Cougars65c1,895$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.174746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Baylor Bears34c1,740$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.774,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears22c1,707$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.855,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears30c1,534$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.624,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Houston Cougars75c1,329$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Baylor Bears24c1,326$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.952,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears8c860.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Baylor Bears13c745.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.539711.3%11 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Houston Cougars71c652.72$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.923,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Baylor Bears24c621.01$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.043138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Houston Cougars76c545.12$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Houston Cougars64c498.05$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7916436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Houston Cougars62c476.04$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.295650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Baylor Bears8c439.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1225946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Baylor Bears29c386.63$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4714027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5c…f9f5backed Houston Cougars72c385.95$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Houston Cougars64c349.2$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.229051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Baylor Bears22c347.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5415240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Houston Cougars62c325.23$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3212045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Baylor Bears38c321.02$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Houston Cougars62c316.99$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1484854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Baylor Bears9c302.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1924737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Houston Cougars62c299.6$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.856235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Baylor Bears31c276.51$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Houston Cougars72c275$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3714450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Baylor Bears27c239.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.555925.4%15 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Houston Cougars75c231.57$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.787655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04ff…c4ccbacked Baylor Bears40c206.64$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.743228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Baylor Bears38c205.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3770349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Baylor Bears36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7242934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Baylor Bears8c199.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.961,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Baylor Bears8c199.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9638837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Baylor Bears9c199.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.952,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Baylor Bears9c195.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.921,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Baylor Bears29c175.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.381,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Houston Cougars58c170.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.817062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Baylor Bears10c167.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0730945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Baylor Bears19c145.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.131,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baylor Bears20c144.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Baylor Bears15c138.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.435534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Houston Cougars80c124.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.862462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Houston Cougars67c113.18$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Baylor Bears10c112.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2311741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Houston Cougars66c111.12$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.782,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed Houston Cougars68c103.93$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.278744.8%39 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Baylor Bears32c91.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3325246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Houston Cougars61c90.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baylor Bears16c87.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.881,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Baylor Bears29c85.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8220234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Baylor Bears43c66.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Houston Cougars69c61.13$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.955042%21 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Houston Cougars77c60.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.076162.3%38 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7941…7bfebacked Houston Cougars75c56.32$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.043132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Baylor Bears26c52.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.685623.2%13 W · 43 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Houston Cougars75c49.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Baylor Bears27c46.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Baylor Bears30c46.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.911,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2010…7127backed Baylor Bears33c45.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…a3b2backed Baylor Bears35c42.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Houston Cougars60c42.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0116746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Baylor Bears32c42.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Baylor Bears38c37.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.435438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc793…c24cbacked Houston Cougars69c25.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Houston Cougars76c22.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.319264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Houston Cougars71c20.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.087057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f0…2711backed Houston Cougars75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.756162.3%38 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.