WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a104dd81a34e9f48eaae2562abb57a1b1fff330914a33da73f6ead827b41fd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Fever, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Wings | 47c | 11,182$5,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,255.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fever | 53c | 6,415$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.87 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Wings | 11c | 4,688$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.31 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fever | 53c | 4,424$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.29 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wings | 22c | 3,640$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.95 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wings | 22c | 2,400$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.11 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wings | 21c | 2,276$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.43 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fever | 53c | 2,158$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.06 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 42c | 2,055$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.05 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Fever | 58c | 1,922$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.72 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Wings | 38c | 1,453$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Fever | 54c | 1,382$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Wings | 26c | 1,101$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.64 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Wings | 44c | 1,060$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Fever | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fever | 75c | 950.24$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.25 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wings | 2c | 880$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Wings | 41c | 836.58$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Fever | 58c | 800$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fever | 55c | 639.54$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.74 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Wings | 47c | 610.64$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Wings | 12c | 583.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wings | 38c | 513.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fever | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wings | 14c | 290$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Wings | 38c | 282$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Fever | 58c | 256$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Wings | 32c | 222.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fever | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Fever | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Wings | 37c | 168.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Fever | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Wings | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Wings | 38c | 117.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wings | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Fever | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed Wings | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…1105backed Fever | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wings | 30c | 74.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fever | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wings | 43c | 61.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Wings | 47c | 53.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Fever | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Wings | 36c | 38.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Fever | 56c | 37.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Fever | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Fever | 56c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…dfbdbacked Fever | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wings | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Wings | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Fever | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.