TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x912a…2e6abacked Over58c22,689$13,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,531.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c9,962$5,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,421.358,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over41c8,011$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,703.9210446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c3,465$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.845,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under42c3,200$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34424855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00813059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over49c1,656$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.325747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c1,469$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.41,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under42c1,400$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58816558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50424053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under42c1,184$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2812757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under42c920$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c900$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3781,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33628851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33623056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over58c776.69$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.122,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6814161%86 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25224956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25218358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f84…00edbacked Over51c579.72$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c572.46$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.972,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under42c520$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.416559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under42c520$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under43c462.79$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1994252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c416$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.912,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over57c344.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.261,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c342.96$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.081,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under42c320$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.421358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under42c312$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0421657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under42c312$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0420360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under32c290.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.35244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under42c280$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.622058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under43c265.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5815247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4116656%93 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over57c245.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.61944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under42c214.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.943652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8424257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8415560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8418959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over58c197.09$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7833266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4131745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under44c169.18$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.443243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6776951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under63c154.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.837761%47 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under40c146.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7712945%58 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under49c144.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4553836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c141.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.242,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c125.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.783,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Under40c111.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.191338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under36c110$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.64742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under10c100.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.041225%3 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+319.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5214335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b65…e6bfbacked Over42c99.57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3f…efffbacked Over67c95.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.521070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.65152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under28c86.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.145240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.613465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Under18c79.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over49c73.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4714352.4%75 W · 68 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under42c65.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5427855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf30…930fbacked Over58c65.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.544100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under42c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.35855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.217960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over58c58.62$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.629741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.521844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeec3…6bd2backed Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95056%28 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over57c43.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9520665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under67c43.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8919264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.135958.8%211 W · 148 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over42c40.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.291,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.767060%42 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.420958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…50e9backed Under62c26.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153941%16 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over66c24.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2125864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under60c23.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.214557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over57c23.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over58c22.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4112948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under48c22.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6812755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eae…8c33backed Over58c21.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over58c19.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0428665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Over57c17.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.553666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.