South American Leagues · resolved market
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ca2935c0920783753a804ce9a8768d21b84e1cb66a1c028658928c292a2d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 30c | 3,271$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.96 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 3,148$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 2,057$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 34c | 723.53$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 32c | 559.05$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.39 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 529.86$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.82 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 70c | 285.64$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes | 30c | 202.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…1bacbacked Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fe22backed Yes | 38c | 105.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 55.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 63c | 39.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 65c | 31.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed No | 73c | 27.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 72c | 23.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked No | 63c | 23.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 22.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5Over won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5Under won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
- Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-2.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.