South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c014482a159cc7b9d8aa7578f988efb0d0a6e424cc8a6d85b2c678c1b3ec05c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 4,224$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 16c | 3,926$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.13 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 1,847$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 59c | 696$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.36 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 61c | 668.93$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.13 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 34c | 597.85$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 51c | 499.11$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.07 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…3892backed Yes | 45c | 405.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 44c | 304.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 36c | 262.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 74c | 249.34$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 39c | 231.44$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 51c | 211.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 30c | 196.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 38c | 176.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked No | 25c | 166.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 54c | 152.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 72c | 146.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 132.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…be6abacked Yes | 76c | 131.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 56c | 92.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 31c | 84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…f0eabacked Yes | 68c | 83.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 75.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 21c | 69.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…ee62backed Yes | 44c | 66.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +452.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed No | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 46c | 54.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 50.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 47.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 43.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Yes | 52c | 42.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 55c | 35.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 56c | 35.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 42c | 31.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cc43backed No | 58c | 28.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 25.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Yes | 54c | 24.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…6bcfbacked No | 56c | 19.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 70c | 15.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud end in a draw?this page
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-05-21?No won
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.