South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c009fe08f842d5ab07cb83fb513247a1fabe746cd4f1ab795730335c481a84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.88 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 5,764$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 17c | 5,288$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.42 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 2,511$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.98 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 23c | 2,071$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.19 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 15c | 1,250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed Yes | 15c | 1,176$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,047$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 851.74$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 23c | 819.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 14c | 544$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 535.17$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 325.78$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Yes | 23c | 325.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 21c | 308.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 21c | 247.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69e…7270backed Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 23c | 229.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 70c | 208.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 20c | 160.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 18c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 124.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 80c | 122.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 77c | 119.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 49c | 111.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 17c | 102.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 53c | 99.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…bd0abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 47c | 92.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 20c | 88.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 21c | 84.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked Yes | 23c | 84.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 76c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 77.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 14c | 71.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 46c | 69.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…7f38backed Yes | 21c | 69.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 62.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…4406backed Yes | 47c | 58.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 53.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Yes | 37c | 52.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 78c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 26c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6583…a593backed No | 78c | 48.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…066cbacked No | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 44.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 73c | 44.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 47c | 37.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Yes | 47c | 32.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 73c | 31.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 51c | 31.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…50fdbacked Yes | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Yes | 47c | 28.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed No | 53c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked No | 76c | 23.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 23.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 72c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-21?this page
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.