WNBA · resolved market
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Game 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x643b2c26a5160728eaf962ba945816a3a6e6565e82026055c48c5b49ed8c63fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Lynx, Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Sun | 55c | 3,151$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Sun | 25c | 2,069$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lynx | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lynx | 75c | 1,216$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…664bbacked Sun | 55c | 1,061$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Sun | 47c | 975.98$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lynx | 46c | 878.26$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.26 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lynx | 74c | 728.87$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3a…3021backed Lynx | 45c | 725.68$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Lynx | 46c | 657.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…014bbacked Lynx | 45c | 644.22$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6386…9367backed Lynx | 46c | 586.12$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21c…e780backed Sun | 55c | 513$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Lynx | 44c | 351.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…f292backed Sun | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…1171backed Sun | 57c | 349.68$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…1901backed Lynx | 45c | 344.44$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…e526backed Sun | 55c | 340$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…bbc4backed Lynx | 45c | 264$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…3100backed Sun | 56c | 260.91$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…2529backed Lynx | 45c | 249.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919b…eabebacked Sun | 57c | 231.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…4936backed Lynx | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…9b62backed Sun | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…6ed5backed Sun | 55c | 197$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Lynx | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Lynx | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…94c5backed Sun | 55c | 110.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…2763backed Lynx | 46c | 98.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…d997backed Sun | 56c | 98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b7…5d97backed Lynx | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…45edbacked Lynx | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1f…2d16backed Lynx | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88b…9c45backed Lynx | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac8…b640backed Lynx | 45c | 91.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…91afbacked Lynx | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Lynx | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked Lynx | 77c | 57.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Lynx | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…7084backed Sun | 57c | 48.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0e…bf6bbacked Sun | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…af52backed Sun | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd7…f512backed Sun | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…b029backed Sun | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…dfaebacked Sun | 57c | 48.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab1…55afbacked Sun | 57c | 48.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Sun | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…10bdbacked Sun | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f9…1b4ebacked Sun | 57c | 43.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Lynx | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…89f6backed Sun | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked Lynx | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Lynx | 45c | 23.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.