World Politics · resolved market
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc4db451c764ff9e0956395bbb37498c3d54f1322f6fc8649d0996a730c84e87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 2c | 35,050$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.97 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed No | 2c | 5,107$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 6c | 4,320$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.32 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 1c | 4,049$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked No | 13c | 3,991$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 1c | 2,428$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 6c | 2,211$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 5c | 2,013$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…99ecbacked No | 1c | 1,825$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 12c | 1,321$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.85 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd245…2318backed No | 1c | 1,034$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 962.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 4c | 945.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 4c | 800$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…d9cebacked No | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 9c | 559.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 11c | 465$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 11c | 445.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…b8a2backed No | 6c | 335.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…e5c5backed No | 4c | 330.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…9dfebacked No | 8c | 245.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 5c | 194.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 14c | 190$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 12c | 165.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 20c | 156$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 13c | 155.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 11c | 137$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428f…5d1bbacked No | 30c | 123.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 17c | 120.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 18c | 108.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8be6backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…7627backed No | 29c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…8363backed No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked Yes | 79c | 69.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 73c | 67.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…810dbacked No | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…db8dbacked No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…8ec6backed No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b38abacked No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…2fffbacked No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…2b36backed No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…9180backed No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…d3fbbacked No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…025abacked No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa552…3306backed No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…3241backed No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…f0fcbacked No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…7e7cbacked Yes | 75c | 40.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 76c | 40.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…678cbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…1628backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?this page
- Will Democratic National Rally (RND) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Future Front (FM) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Movement of Society for Peace (MSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No won
- Will National Construction Movement (BINAA) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.