Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x890fc1477df46db7c7e162703a09c6bac7ef448b4203f18e320e2c8f39603703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda6…2095backed Yes | 15c | 3,015$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.26 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes | 20c | 2,239$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.51 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…0c0dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,554$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.07 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked No | 74c | 1,412$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.74 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 1,039$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed No | 80c | 884.34$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 20c | 756.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 9c | 647.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…9a2abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…9788backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 15c | 366.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…7690backed No | 80c | 340$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 19c | 279.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 16c | 223$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 36c | 220$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 6c | 215.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 12c | 210.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 6c | 202.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 558 | 8.2%46 W · 512 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa123…2c1dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…6587backed Yes | 24c | 175.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 470 | 32.6%153 W · 317 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 11c | 162.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 71c | 155$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 154$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 24c | 143$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 11c | 138.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…bda1backed Yes | 16c | 130.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 145 | 13.8%20 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 72c | 118$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd4…d241backed No | 76c | 117.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 9c | 116.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…1218backed Yes | 13c | 90.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 25c | 75.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 281 | 11%31 W · 250 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 25c | 61.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…d8b0backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…8a05backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…dda2backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…123abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked No | 72c | 37.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 35.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 148 | 64.9%96 W · 52 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 15.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <400 tweets in June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.