Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25acdc1966cdbac648d578cb48c9e894101ddfa6e9467fa52c915ca9fffbd98a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes | 17c | 3,280$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.14 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 45c | 2,567$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.51 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 920.84$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.79 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 37c | 811.72$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.77 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 19c | 782.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.44 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 724.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.34 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…0c0dbacked Yes | 36c | 609.3$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.41 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 40c | 581.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.56 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 327.11$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.82 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…d03abacked Yes | 12c | 312.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.31 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde6…040fbacked Yes | 44c | 307.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.46 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 65c | 233$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 208.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.58 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 49c | 203.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…6587backed Yes | 35c | 201.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 470 | 32.6%153 W · 317 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 280 | 34.3%96 W · 184 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 25c | 198.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.17 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 194$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 46c | 188.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 78c | 181.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.37 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 175.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 170.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 28c | 158.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 76c | 153.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 245 | 24.9%61 W · 184 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…bda1backed Yes | 15c | 138.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 149 | 13.4%20 W · 129 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 59c | 136.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…1a08backed Yes | 19c | 132.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 11c | 127$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 14c | 125$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 65c | 125$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 25c | 122.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 39c | 121$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 42c | 118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 112.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 35c | 109.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 37c | 108.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 15c | 107.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 92.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 28c | 91.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 19c | 86.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…d09cbacked No | 60c | 83.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 59c | 76.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 37c | 75.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 55c | 70.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…b24abacked No | 65c | 67.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…ccc5backed No | 60c | 67.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…736cbacked No | 65c | 62.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…0c53backed Yes | 21c | 61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 74c | 57.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 20c | 53.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 59c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…9338backed No | 73c | 51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…509bbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…dbc3backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 28c | 49.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 27c | 47.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 67c | 47.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 54c | 47.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 40c | 37.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 52c | 37.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 31c | 35.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed No | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…412bbacked No | 72c | 32.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 60c | 21.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked No | 73c | 13.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <400 tweets in June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.