Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x988873d5418b1b6d3559f231b4f988f5263a995c9e39d81926e744889c361c12

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,580 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8aa1…95b4backed Yes	0c	8,795$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.79	59	20.3%12 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	28c	3,420$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.37	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes	22c	2,751$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.79	131	19.8%26 W · 105 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	33c	2,095$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.87	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked No	72c	1,556$1,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.14	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	68c	1,091$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.07	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1359…0c0dbacked Yes	26c	888.22$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.19	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	24c	748.63$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.07	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	59c	732.48$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.06	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed No	70c	609.7$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.85	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	16c	524.51$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.1	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	401.94$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.14	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	23c	398.04$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.85	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	79c	389.38$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.97	169	45%76 W · 93 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	72c	388.62$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.91	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcde6…040fbacked Yes	17c	383.68$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.57	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	24c	380.48$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.32	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	18c	379.31$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.01	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Yes	20c	375.43$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.09	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No	78c	340$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.33	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	62c	318.34$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.1	72	65.3%47 W · 25 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	72c	312.83$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.11	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c04…6587backed Yes	34c	299.45$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	470	32.6%153 W · 317 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	50c	284.99$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.23	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No	77c	275$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.56	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	46c	188.7$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.01	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	71c	185$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.75	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	57c	178.46$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.73	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	51c	169.03$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.39	57	66.7%38 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	33c	164.55$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.18	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Yes	56c	161.46$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.8	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No	59c	149.99$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.5	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	62cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ecf…20d7backed Yes	14c	137.26$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No	39c	136.91$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.1	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	26c	130$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.44	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes	28c	125.97$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.92	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	19c	125$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	395	18.7%74 W · 321 L	-57.0wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes	58c	122.86$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.53	125	48%60 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf65d…b385backed Yes	38c	117.6$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.81	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe230…9788backed Yes	30c	116.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	14c	114.29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.83	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	9c	113.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdb…8a82backed Yes	26c	111$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.74	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.3wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed Yes	53c	101.37$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.05	126	46%58 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d7…1218backed Yes	27c	99.01$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.73	160	13.1%21 W · 139 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	75c	93$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.25	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	44c	90$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.6	218	57.8%126 W · 92 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes	41c	90$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	55c	89.93$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.47	97	43.3%42 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes	37c	86.89$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.03	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed No	34c	84.79$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.73	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8533…7c76backed Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	34c	80.03$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.19	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…47c5backed Yes	14c	76.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	75c	76$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	58c	75.04$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.23	510	18.2%93 W · 417 L	-89.7wins	-0.18per pick	36cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x04f6…311abacked Yes	24c	62.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	25%4 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No	67c	62$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.46	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	72c	58$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.02	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f6…d1d3backed No	52c	56.91$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.56	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	76c	56$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.44	125	43.2%54 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	72c	53.08$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.98	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…f88ebacked Yes	20c	52.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed No	77c	51$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.73	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	49cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb886…3024backed Yes	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095b…8a05backed No	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6fb…58e2backed No	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+86.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81fb…25f3backed No	78c	47.45$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.44	34	79.4%27 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	77cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	73c	47.07$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.54	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	32c	44.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.39	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked No	72c	44.4$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa123…2c1dbacked Yes	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+68.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	64c	38.3$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.82	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked No	53c	37.92$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked No	67c	36.36$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	63c	33.66$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.32	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes	47c	32.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Yes	52c	29.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.07	107	38.3%41 W · 66 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes	52c	27.16$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	58c	21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.85	241	55.6%134 W · 107 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ea…7b04backed Yes	52c	20.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf05…33e2backed No	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.65	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	80c	15.44$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.09	276	47.8%132 W · 144 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No	72c	13.98$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.92	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in June 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in June 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in June 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in June 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in June 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in June 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in June 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post <400 tweets in June 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event