Lol · resolved market
Will Secret Whales win LCP 2026 Split 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x570ebfb0dbb959c42f27473a6de59541c90c3cddb2b2594078143a3bd6a9cde8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed No | 51c | 1,023$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.41 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 48c | 606$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 64c | 596.47$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.04 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 35c | 429.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 27c | 239.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes | 18c | 170.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 76c | 137.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Yes | 68c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 23c | 105.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…4bddbacked Yes | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 71c | 88.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed Yes | 46c | 79.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…7b78backed Yes | 42c | 74.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 58c | 70.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 49c | 52.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f52…9fbabacked No | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6197…9977backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed Yes | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 54c | 29.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…fbf3backed Yes | 77c | 13.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Secret Whales win LCP 2026 Split 2?this page
- Will Deep Cross Gaming win LCP 2026 Split 2?No won
- Will Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming win LCP 2026 Split 2?No won
- Will GAM Esports win LCP 2026 Split 2?No won
- Will MVK Esports win LCP 2026 Split 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.