Earnings · resolved market
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe13b3b5087385775af2dbacd02af3386acb815b6c8a9d09bc013f158a172ba0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeff1…6930backed No | 19c | 7,814$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,295.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +178%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 7c | 1,622$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.13 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…dab0backed No | 16c | 1,191$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.21 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…6b67backed No | 50c | 1,005$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 12c | 825$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 11c | 775.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +203%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked No | 9c | 747.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.25 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 9c | 662.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 11c | 555$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.95 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 18c | 454.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 11c | 443$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 11c | 430$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 9c | 345$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 77c | 333.83$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.05 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 12c | 329.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed No | 12c | 263.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 11c | 173.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 70c | 166.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 10c | 152.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -17.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…7fb5backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 75c | 81.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 22c | 46.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2773…045cbacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.