World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe22e5433c2aa9616a30180f6d109a14cbe0bff560b98e68e9696386ae2de3775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 26c | 1,445$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.27 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 46c | 1,079$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.08 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…9365backed Yes | 59c | 861.45$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.26 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 48c | 731.56$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.84 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 29c | 573.81$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 58c | 545.89$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.14 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 8c | 446.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 50c | 428$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.14 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 385.08$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 53c | 320.88$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 53c | 298$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 267$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 262.17$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 251.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 65c | 249.05$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed Yes | 58c | 240.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4d…bb01backed No | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 41c | 238.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 42c | 210.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…c0d2backed Yes | 37c | 210.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 60c | 209.26$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 33c | 205$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 55c | 192.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 42c | 192.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 59c | 185$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 180.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 45c | 174$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 31c | 172.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 147.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 35c | 138$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 67c | 137.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…bfebbacked Yes | 57c | 135.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…ec54backed Yes | 46c | 130.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…96bdbacked Yes | 78c | 127.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 57c | 126.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 120.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 55c | 119.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 66c | 115.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Yes | 48c | 113.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 66c | 109.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 42c | 105.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 104.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 33c | 104.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 21c | 100.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…395bbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed No | 50c | 99.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 52c | 98.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 65c | 97.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 29c | 94.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 27c | 90.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 82.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 43c | 79.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 74c | 75.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 40c | 73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 40c | 72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 29c | 70.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…a2d2backed Yes | 43c | 68.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 68.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 47c | 67.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Yes | 54c | 64.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 47c | 64.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 61c | 63.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 58c | 62.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 37c | 61.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 36c | 61.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 53c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 50c | 60.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed No | 49c | 59.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked No | 70c | 57.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 57c | 56.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 48c | 54.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 28c | 54.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 43c | 53.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…e9f5backed Yes | 56c | 53.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…c0d0backed Yes | 74c | 53.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 64c | 52.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 26c | 51.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 55c | 48.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 60c | 47.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…bf7bbacked Yes | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…c595backed Yes | 68c | 43.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…52f2backed Yes | 58c | 43.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 51c | 42.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 60c | 41.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 58 | 75.9%44 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 47c | 39.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.