World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2642e76d1fd554efe43d434279aaee8743bf10a2d95a8e8ba787dbdf2fc818be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 39c | 1,207$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.51 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 45c | 901.92$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.03 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 48c | 835.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.52 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 40c | 567.32$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.97 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 15c | 552.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…9365backed Yes | 50c | 536.41$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.91 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 75c | 444.7$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.75 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 35c | 396.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.35 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 77c | 383.85$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 31c | 310.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 304.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 73c | 303.95$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 54c | 299.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 279.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 55c | 273.16$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 48c | 239$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 46c | 236.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 57c | 208.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 20c | 205.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 51c | 200.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 48c | 198.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Yes | 65c | 186.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 38c | 178.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 62c | 165$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…808bbacked Yes | 39c | 155.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 58c | 144.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 65c | 139.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 53c | 137.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 131.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…31ffbacked Yes | 51c | 130$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 128.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked No | 33c | 127.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 48c | 121.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 45c | 118.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 66c | 117.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 31c | 114$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 52c | 99.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 45c | 97.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…4f51backed No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 46c | 92.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 39c | 90.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…5f32backed Yes | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…9c56backed Yes | 47c | 88.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…a422backed Yes | 74c | 86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 60c | 84.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 54c | 83.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…efdfbacked Yes | 48c | 83.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 57c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 52c | 77.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…d9b3backed Yes | 52c | 76.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 45c | 70.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked Yes | 34c | 70.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…4d69backed No | 57c | 70.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 80c | 70.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 25c | 67.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 54c | 65.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 64.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…eb81backed Yes | 48c | 64.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed Yes | 42c | 63.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 18c | 63.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…a592backed Yes | 52c | 61.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 45c | 54.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…d568backed Yes | 38c | 52.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 39c | 51.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…daeebacked Yes | 77c | 51.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Yes | 38c | 51.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 46c | 47.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 47c | 47.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…6423backed Yes | 64c | 47.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 45c | 44.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 48c | 44.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 79c | 44.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 43.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 57c | 43.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…c6bebacked No | 55c | 42.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 46c | 42.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Yes | 73c | 42.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…3146backed Yes | 61c | 41.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…0a1abacked No | 54c | 40.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…73c3backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…4183backed No | 38c | 39.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…5b62backed Yes | 33c | 38.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 52c | 38.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 62c | 37.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.