Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93b22ecd31711632e4f2e6eec776b25b92bb953d28efd202f04079d4a17447c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 6c | 1,076$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 1,060$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.65 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 18c | 549.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 29c | 469$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.74 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 69c | 419.22$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.77 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 35c | 400$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 54c | 357.76$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…5b42backed No | 62c | 343.59$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.03 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 69c | 329.31$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 76c | 309.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 26c | 286.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…08e1backed No | 35c | 268.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 73c | 263.04$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…6004backed Yes | 79c | 249.29$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 64c | 245.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 165 | 66.1%109 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 22c | 239.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 230.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 229.01$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.73 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 65c | 228.46$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…68b0backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 67c | 199.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.69 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 25c | 199.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 76c | 197.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 60c | 183.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 36c | 182.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ee23backed Yes | 28c | 178.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 24c | 169.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 28c | 150.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 72c | 147.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…7105backed No | 68c | 147.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 28c | 136$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…23debacked No | 72c | 135.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 75c | 133.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 71c | 129$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…70a4backed Yes | 29c | 120.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 70c | 113$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 73c | 109.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 108.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 18c | 104.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…81b2backed Yes | 32c | 104.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 67c | 103.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…4d69backed No | 66c | 91.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 33c | 83.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 62c | 77.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…add8backed No | 73c | 68.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…271dbacked Yes | 29c | 66.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 64.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 64.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 23c | 61.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Yes | 61c | 59.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 66c | 58.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 71c | 55.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 35c | 52.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…b55fbacked Yes | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…d445backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 70c | 49.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 36c | 49.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 67c | 48.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 67c | 47.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 26c | 46.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Yes | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…93e0backed Yes | 32c | 44.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 43.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed Yes | 37c | 40.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…e48bbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…013cbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…a4aebacked Yes | 29c | 39.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 31c | 36.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 67c | 35.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322c…8fe9backed No | 63c | 34.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…144dbacked No | 67c | 33.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -19.6wins | -0.33per pick | 59cpaid | -61%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…005cbacked No | 70c | 33.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 73c | 31.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…4b36backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 64c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 70c | 30.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…d093backed Yes | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 151 | 76.8%116 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 74c | 27.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 64c | 25.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 74c | 22.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.