Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa3379ce61379707101734ad3347a7a28930bd09da1c02831f57201ccf2cc00a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed No | 39c | 32,059$12,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,436.47 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 63c | 9,986$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.22 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 61c | 9,351$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 64c | 5,276$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.84 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.98 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked No | 2c | 3,621$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 38c | 3,518$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.41 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 61c | 2,843$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.74 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 63c | 1,877$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.49 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 43c | 1,625$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.75 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 61c | 1,111$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.29 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 11c | 1,111$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 67c | 895.53$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.38 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 42c | 850$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed No | 38c | 821.05$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Yes | 61c | 820.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…9cfcbacked No | 37c | 749.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 27c | 740.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 61c | 717.95$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.66 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…d5b3backed No | 37c | 699.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…b852backed No | 37c | 699.88$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 61c | 699.25$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.71 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 678.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 648.23$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 40c | 641.23$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 61c | 604.92$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.92 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 40c | 577.65$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 9c | 569.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 462.63$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.77 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 14c | 449.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 62c | 439$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.82 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 61c | 421.21$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.27 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 5c | 409.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 409$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 61c | 403.34$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…6851backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…837ebacked Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…72cfbacked Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…92b2backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 61c | 356$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 63c | 333.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 61c | 324.19$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 61c | 306$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 306$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 306$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…a258backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 38c | 275$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 37c | 270.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 260.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…e3b8backed Yes | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 60c | 233.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 40c | 208.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 63c | 196.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 23c | 184.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 38c | 178$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Yes | 63c | 175$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…4907backed Yes | 63c | 174.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 11c | 172.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 69c | 168$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 63c | 160.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…47dcbacked Yes | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +229.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 61c | 153.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 59c | 149.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 39c | 143.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 63c | 123.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 57c | 103.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 74c | 101.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 62c | 99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 43c | 92.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 59c | 84.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 13c | 83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 61c | 80.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 41c | 80.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 62c | 77.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 62c | 74.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 28c | 73.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed No | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 36c | 67.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 61c | 65.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…b344backed Yes | 63c | 62.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…a49ebacked Yes | 64c | 62.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked No | 37c | 59.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.