Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a70d7fade865c413ab9e54d1e5f247aba840e0c739f3c0ad49c76294c984b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 73c | 7,500$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.91 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 5,305$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.14 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 2,299$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 2c | 2,067$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 71c | 1,347$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.28 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed No | 75c | 1,316$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 27c | 989.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.36 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 2c | 870.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 29c | 552.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 526.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 442.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 369.51$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed No | 75c | 360$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 72c | 352.68$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 29c | 310.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed No | 73c | 304.11$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…39bdbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 8c | 260$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 237.46$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Yes | 25c | 209.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 182.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 26c | 178.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 25c | 174.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 28c | 166$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 24c | 149.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 23c | 135$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 117.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 76c | 112.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 100.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 26c | 91.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…20a5backed Yes | 29c | 83.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 28c | 68.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 20c | 64.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 27c | 62.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d6ebacked Yes | 27c | 45.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 73c | 41.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 28c | 39.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 30.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 75c | 26.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 74c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 72c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 72c | 16.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…5709backed No | 74c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?No won
- Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.