Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5196fe8e24604634e5c6c8c59781616e9148ea57f7230f6fe97e2510f610a8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5234…771cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.76 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 5c | 4,815$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,155$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 71c | 999.98$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 955.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 29c | 896.38$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 30c | 666.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 645.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 534$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 69c | 495.07$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Yes | 22c | 409.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 383.22$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 23c | 349.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 331$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 73c | 292.87$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 269.54$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 209.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 203.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 80c | 176$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 76c | 136.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked No | 76c | 135.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 31c | 121.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 111.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 105.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 97.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 89.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 76c | 82.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 76c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 79c | 50.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…2808backed Yes | 30c | 42.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…8480backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked No | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 76c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 76c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 69c | 30.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 71c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 72c | 27.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 75c | 22.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 76c | 17.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed No | 75c | 17.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 72c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked No | 80c | 14.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?this page
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.