TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$325,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$431,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No58c102,261$59,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,981.335352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes42c60,462$25,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,394.075651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes43c55,123$23,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,511.2119253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No57c50,000$28,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,30030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes41c9,714$3,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,976.942,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c8,893$3,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,734.992,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No57c8,434$4,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,641.1750644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c6,783$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.26,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes43c6,244$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.473644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes43c5,858$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.131,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes44c5,660$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,516.062245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No57c5,215$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.4313444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes42c4,084$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.564,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c2,493$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.921,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes42c2,486$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No57c2,184$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.0325752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812e…ae42backed Yes22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes42c1,899$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.4779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No58c1,600$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67840953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes28c1,320$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9910330.1%31 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51633057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No63c1,167$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.131,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes43c1,160$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.891,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes42c1,110$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.19556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4207147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes42c763.16$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked No58c755.28$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes7c599.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.111,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes42c582.95$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.511,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No57c530$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.93250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes42c499.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9913641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes16c457.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3232822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No57c444$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9221548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No57c435.01$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0513662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes41c410.21$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes46c405.52$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.881,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c342.37$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.92,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes42c340$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9339948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes38c261.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes33c240$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.625052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed No57c224$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.323951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes42c213.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7533753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f9…b6d7backed Yes42c207$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe539…fd35backed No58c206$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc4…a5c3backed No58c198$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e6b…0b4bbacked Yes42c197$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes41c196$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed No58c187.17$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+48.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes43c174.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked No58c174.19$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.161957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7049544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No57c160$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No66c136.37$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9257744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.422229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Yes39c115.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes44c106.36$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.89050%45 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4432737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4612055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4813447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4344036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa511…18a3backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Yes42c99.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.996440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes43c97.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4214252.1%74 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes27c93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.784037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207030%21 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No57c84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No57c84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No57c84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1237557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.621143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No67c78.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4129041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No57c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3837554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No57c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3835157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.957753.2%41 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No77c61.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1473258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.87640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Yes42c59.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.27751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked Yes42c59.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.942544%11 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes44c54.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0516346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d50…1fdebacked Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.532357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.