Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ae24b17da0e310f061f51bd3b4b50da80ca9ff23fe8922a6e996f4a77185e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 7,687$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 19c | 1,574$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.45 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 25c | 1,248$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.49 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…d0d0backed No | 47c | 736.41$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.64 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 732.21$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.65 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 532.37$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.76 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 291.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 23c | 254.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 252$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…1992backed Yes | 79c | 251.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 9c | 243.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 66c | 224.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 135.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 117.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 14c | 116$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed No | 71c | 101$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed Yes | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed No | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 73c | 85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 45c | 65.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…bdc8backed Yes | 54c | 64.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 30c | 61.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…8557backed Yes | 67c | 50.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…a6ebbacked Yes | 76c | 26.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 44c | 25.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.