F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8195740aef5b45f9e1864c2bc17ce1c0fd76c6961ac0d81fe3d1e0159ecb8832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,836 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 46c | 499.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.96 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 51c | 277.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…231cbacked Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…78bebacked No | 49c | 167$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed No | 49c | 163.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4513…3449backed Yes | 54c | 147.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 49c | 106.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 67c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 49c | 65.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 38c | 59.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…af96backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…4a34backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…9facbacked Yes | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11e…c0d5backed Yes | 60c | 24.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439d…3e06backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.