Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Newcastle United FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfd029ccaf9502c163e8bcd1af763aebec7f7bf79b03fda0b5bfe20d87dc68c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,136 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfabf…231cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,267$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…ff32backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090d…8265backed Yes | 13c | 642.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 11c | 466.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 12c | 424$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 10c | 396.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffeb…717bbacked Yes | 13c | 387.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 9c | 251.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6295…861ebacked Yes | 12c | 205.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 12c | 204.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…bd43backed Yes | 12c | 160.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…bdd4backed Yes | 11c | 100.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…8ec6backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Newcastle United FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 2 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 3 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 3 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Newcastle United FC?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Newcastle United FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.