TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa05d…e9a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$24.84
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.72
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+136.9%+$41.6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$5.1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$88.15
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$50.29
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+64.1%+$145.35
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$21.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$13.84
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.79
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+122.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+455.6%+$77.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+150%+$17.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+34.5%+$26.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.