Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19e3db29acd255120ff35eec9effaa3b7511e3c0c65a1a988c422c3a7fbf6414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 3,571$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.3 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 2,592$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.44 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 1,169$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.54 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 60c | 947.72$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.63 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 782.52$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.23 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 54c | 568.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 422.13$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 33c | 300.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 45c | 291.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Under | 66c | 267.71$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 49c | 265.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 77c | 208.62$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Under | 80c | 208$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 199.78$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 14c | 184.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Under | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 11c | 170.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…df88backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 166.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 156.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 150.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 48c | 130.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 37c | 96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Over | 60c | 95.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 91.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 44c | 74.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 36c | 74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 36c | 66.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 67c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 56c | 52.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 47c | 42.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 42c | 38.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 43c | 37.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 48c | 36.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 66c | 35.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…7827backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 41c | 31.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 48c | 31.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 31.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 42c | 31.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 66c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Under | 44c | 27.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Over | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Angers SCO won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.