Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3bb810f5153ebdbe37e83a28230d6a7bd931c89b42d5747703c15a43f940c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 80c | 2,500$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.16 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 19c | 2,245$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.61 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 30c | 831.49$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 827.41$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.73 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 518.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 497.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 418.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 20c | 293.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 21c | 238.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 218.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 54c | 206.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 54c | 92.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 79c | 71.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…3ed5backed Under | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…abc5backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 41c | 47.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Over | 69c | 43.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 36.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 34.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Over | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Over | 78c | 12.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Angers SCO won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.