Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ba65bcadb73458e1edc0b81359f805d3fe80e5ad062248cf37288d0cb79fc8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 64c | 2,420$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.58 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Under | 74c | 2,110$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 1,946$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.97 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 17c | 1,709$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.36 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 1,373$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Over | 39c | 513.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 22c | 508$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 442.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 9c | 394.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 391.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9528…8c40backed Over | 33c | 379.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Under | 63c | 230.15$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 21c | 217.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…944fbacked Under | 67c | 190.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…0e16backed Under | 67c | 188.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 64c | 134.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 38c | 63.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 80c | 49.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 61c | 40.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 64c | 24.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 64c | 19.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…c8c6backed Under | 67c | 14.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Angers SCO won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.