Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2234b04596340707bfd30c32a28f91cb0baccad56f0f80fe62d86cfde822b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AS Monaco FCof AS Monaco FC, Angers SCO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x258f…4493backed AS Monaco FC | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Angers SCO | 56c | 580.6$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.54 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Angers SCO | 61c | 553$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.77 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Angers SCO | 58c | 456.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.03 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed AS Monaco FC | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed AS Monaco FC | 41c | 192.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Angers SCO | 56c | 111.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Angers SCO | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed AS Monaco FC | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Angers SCO | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Angers SCO | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed AS Monaco FC | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed AS Monaco FC | 38c | 48.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Angers SCO | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Angers SCO | 54c | 45.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed AS Monaco FC | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Angers SCO won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.