Australian A League · resolved market
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d61652de1bda391b2aa66f00d3b8b71898ecdd52c7d0728cd038b0ab97c5abe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,596 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 46c | 24,421$11,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,233.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 55c | 8,269$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 54c | 7,400$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.97 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 38c | 5,300$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.97 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 4,507$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.4 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 47c | 4,506$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 3,424$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.67 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 3,324$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.89 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…51b0backed Over | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 31c | 1,701$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.3 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 30c | 982.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 45c | 838.89$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…a44cbacked Over | 54c | 834$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 48c | 661.02$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 72c | 558.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 552.86$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.13 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 552$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 545.53$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.95 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Under | 75c | 433.25$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd1…7ceabacked Over | 57c | 425.15$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed Under | 54c | 357.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Under | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 44c | 312.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.05 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 47c | 242.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 234$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…2987backed Under | 45c | 224.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 207.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 20c | 174.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…9dd9backed Over | 57c | 170.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 63c | 169.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 63c | 165.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Under | 44c | 161.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 38c | 156.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 43c | 151.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…8f5dbacked Over | 42c | 149$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Under | 32c | 148.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 39c | 134.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 75c | 133.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…9907backed Over | 60c | 123.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 54c | 122.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 47c | 119.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 79c | 117.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 57c | 115.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 103.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 102.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 51c | 100.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 55c | 90.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Over | 46c | 90.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Over | 46c | 89.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Over | 46c | 89.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 36c | 89.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 41c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 60c | 88.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Over | 46c | 87.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…a144backed Over | 63c | 83.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 46c | 81.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 62c | 80.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Under | 54c | 69.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 45c | 59.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 61c | 57.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Under | 59c | 56.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…25a5backed Over | 46c | 55.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 30c | 52.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 36c | 50.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…1047backed Under | 46c | 45.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Under | 27c | 44.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 47c | 42.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 47c | 42.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Under | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked Under | 43c | 33.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…e01abacked Under | 63c | 32.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Under | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…cdf9backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 54c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…ff2fbacked Over | 79c | 25.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…e414backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.