Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccfa17b487254e6054c425cfd87c4a9ff4b527ed2533f9735d7e4667adf0926b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,091 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 2,668$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 26c | 2,556$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 30c | 667.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 67c | 462.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.69 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…8925backed Under | 49c | 284.69$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 67c | 224.3$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 52c | 215.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 51c | 178.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 18c | 104.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed Over | 51c | 99.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Over | 51c | 92.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Over | 51c | 92.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 48c | 71.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 75c | 35.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.