TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,453 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No71c6,854$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.9398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes33c6,073$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.552835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes31c3,520$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.21540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes49c2,698$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.423551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes25c2,266$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c1,539$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.7814955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes32c1,500$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.41156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed No71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.45650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Yes37c1,362$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed No42c1,339$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.9314060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes55c1,323$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.79431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c1,257$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.4746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…b277backed Yes66c1,234$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No66c1,204$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4314755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c714.86$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6614843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No39c666$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.264040%16 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815a…2540backed No79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes58c632.33$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.584553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No55c605.64$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.4714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No68c526.95$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6230055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17010160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No68c499.98$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9911940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No68c499.98$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9913243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes31c499.97$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.991926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.43773%27 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No68c475$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.196471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes34c443.29$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.721050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No68c436$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.526453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes29c403.56$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.03825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No65c372.48$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc909…c315backed Yes30c360$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No67c295$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.35785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+65%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes34c280.71$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.443537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No67c273.85$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2819345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.96129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes62c193.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c187.16$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb9…0f15backed Yes27c184.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick37cpaid+120.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No61c183.31$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3810857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x641a…a144backed Yes72c180.85$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No67c180$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.410448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecf9…9372backed Yes68c157.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c151.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2416858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No71c131.09$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.612045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd0…dacbbacked Yes79c129$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No66c125$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes34c118.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Yes29c117.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa283…18dcbacked Yes41c101.81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No34c101.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.721844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No66c95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No60c85.15$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7411050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes33c82.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.866344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed No35c80.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.011010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No65c78.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.646050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes27c76.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.84454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Yes32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.251118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No66c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No67c70.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No67c70.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.24055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Yes31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes32c69.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No68c68.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.92972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85f…db1cbacked Yes32c65.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Yes62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb35a…c452backed Yes32c62.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No39c59.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7814951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No51c58.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8116865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No67c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.732453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Yes31c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No71c41.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.983450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes32c40.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c36.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.916969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked No73c35.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes33c33.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.141643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a3…27d8backed Yes75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed No67c26.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No69c25.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No69c22.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked No70c21.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…25a5backed No72c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.