Other European Leagues · resolved market
Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x036e8f41867e148525fa9b77e6cf394c2be41bb745911d219aeeb6bbfc901b8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 52c | 2,662$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.2 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 2c | 1,300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,050$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 59c | 896.91$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.7 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 22c | 866.55$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.91 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 812.43$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 29c | 685.58$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.17 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 42c | 474.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Over | 46c | 419.34$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 73c | 340$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 24c | 318.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 34c | 304.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 51c | 299.79$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.31 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 298.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.79 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 289.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 56c | 281.31$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 41c | 245.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 242.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.44 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…c8e5backed Over | 39c | 200.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…718dbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b73fbacked Over | 60c | 198.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…f24cbacked Over | 60c | 196.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 58c | 167.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 149.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 78c | 141.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Under | 77c | 140.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 112.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 12c | 104$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Over | 58c | 100.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 53c | 86.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 34c | 68.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 41c | 62.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 58c | 55.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 55.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…bc8cbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 38.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 38.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 58c | 33.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 40c | 32.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 31.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 45c | 24.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 58c | 22.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 49c | 22.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 58c | 20.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Over | 58c | 18.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 56c | 18.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 67c | 15.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5this page
- Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.