Other European Leagues · resolved market
Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d4ac6bb67af31f2090f75a77172ac075a9c8593fe4a0030f6286c780857b350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,548$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.23 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 1,455$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 51c | 943.07$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.62 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 707.94$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 65c | 489.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 51c | 329.24$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 51c | 299.96$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 297.53$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b73fbacked Over | 52c | 293.19$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 288.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 36c | 212.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 52c | 53.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 52c | 46.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 70c | 31.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Under | 52c | 29.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 53c | 18.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5this page
- Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.