Euroleague · resolved market
Manresa vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe88a5fffd93565a2f30a89e2d2305975c02816cdbc5b0ee101734ba8efd3f0ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manresaof Manresa, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Valencia | 77c | 4,002$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Valencia | 70c | 2,282$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Manresa | 24c | 1,641$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.52 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…8f45backed Valencia | 76c | 1,460$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Manresa | 17c | 1,061$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.43 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Manresa | 34c | 989.68$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manresa | 23c | 961.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.23 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Manresa | 29c | 852.06$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Valencia | 70c | 714.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Manresa | 29c | 657.13$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.56 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Manresa | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Manresa | 24c | 538.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Valencia | 67c | 521.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Valencia | 76c | 508.82$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Manresa | 31c | 499.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.34 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Manresa | 30c | 383.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.33 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Valencia | 73c | 292.06$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Manresa | 25c | 274.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.39 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Manresa | 18c | 236.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Valencia | 69c | 233.12$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.05 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Manresa | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Manresa | 26c | 173.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Valencia | 57c | 167.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Manresa | 36c | 132.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Valencia | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Valencia | 36c | 105.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Manresa | 27c | 104.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Manresa | 29c | 101.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Manresa | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Manresa | 31c | 97.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Manresa | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Manresa | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.48per pick | 39cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Manresa | 31c | 85.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Valencia | 65c | 76.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Manresa | 29c | 76.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Manresa | 31c | 75.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Manresa | 27c | 75.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Manresa | 69c | 73.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Manresa | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Manresa | 25c | 49.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Manresa | 28c | 39.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c7…f584backed Valencia | 78c | 37.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Valencia | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Valencia | 67c | 33.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2d…8a14backed Valencia | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valencia | 59c | 23.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Manresa | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.