Euroleague · resolved market
Gran Canaria vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bf9a01c72cae37656386dfdc7f5cf8d9b125f236fa3503df12d5909810b486e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Gran Canaria, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,294 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Real Madrid | 72c | 2,301$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gran Canaria | 28c | 1,534$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gran Canaria | 28c | 1,289$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.35 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Real Madrid | 75c | 790.71$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gran Canaria | 36c | 784.5$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.4 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Real Madrid | 68c | 587.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…8bdcbacked Real Madrid | 68c | 440.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Gran Canaria | 25c | 425.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Gran Canaria | 23c | 366.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Gran Canaria | 25c | 199.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Gran Canaria | 25c | 178.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Real Madrid | 66c | 150.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Real Madrid | 75c | 143.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Real Madrid | 75c | 139$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Gran Canaria | 49c | 121.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Real Madrid | 73c | 93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Gran Canaria | 25c | 83.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Gran Canaria | 17c | 74.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gran Canaria | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Gran Canaria | 26c | 60.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Gran Canaria | 34c | 60.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…bb35backed Gran Canaria | 29c | 55.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Gran Canaria | 28c | 47.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Gran Canaria | 26c | 43.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gran Canaria | 26c | 40.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36d…6140backed Real Madrid | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Real Madrid | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Real Madrid | 68c | 15.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.