Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e29aca2f881bd84885cb4a834d28084a04d45239b583cf191c1ccb9da0e41a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 62c | 954.74$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 865.63$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 745.88$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 662.66$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.65 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 588.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 44c | 561.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.02 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 316.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 245.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 239.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 80c | 226.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…94a3backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…8d95backed Over | 50c | 168.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fd…8e1abacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 43c | 117.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…74bcbacked Over | 59c | 110.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 40c | 97.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…a7a5backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 54c | 69.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2d85backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 41c | 58.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 49c | 42.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 30.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 54c | 29.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 60c | 28.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…93c6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.