College Football · resolved market
Florida vs. Ole Miss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce101e59e4eda1f53cfbc330ada4bcdac4da3bfddc987daef4e2e63b432910cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Floridaof Florida, Ole Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Ole Miss | 18c | 12,377$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.04 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Florida | 37c | 2,999$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Ole Miss | 18c | 1,191$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Florida | 68c | 1,050$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ole Miss | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Ole Miss | 62c | 744.5$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.63 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Florida | 45c | 724.95$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.59 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Florida | 72c | 500$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Florida | 67c | 407.13$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5269…435abacked Ole Miss | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…55e4backed Ole Miss | 50c | 399.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Florida | 63c | 332.91$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked Ole Miss | 8c | 215.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Ole Miss | 62c | 180$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Florida | 41c | 165.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Ole Miss | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…1cf3backed Ole Miss | 64c | 127.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Ole Miss | 18c | 67.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Florida | 45c | 54.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Florida | 46c | 51.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Ole Miss | 59c | 49.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…2a31backed Ole Miss | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x799e…36b3backed Florida | 77c | 17.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…32dcbacked Ole Miss | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.