Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee4f490e3e6b2a032a5df1499069ca2d3fe3a603dbc1a349871cbdedb3cbead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesof Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, North Alabama Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,569 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 164,689$94,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,983.27 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed North Alabama Lions | 42c | 81,220$34,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,112.25 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Alabama Lions | 43c | 27,890$11,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,988.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed North Alabama Lions | 43c | 23,936$10,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,292.28 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked North Alabama Lions | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 55c | 3,998$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.93 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Alabama Lions | 43c | 1,511$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed North Alabama Lions | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.04 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Alabama Lions | 42c | 1,024$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed North Alabama Lions | 45c | 594.8$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.66 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 534.88$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked North Alabama Lions | 63c | 534.48$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 516.86$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.09 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked North Alabama Lions | 46c | 431$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed North Alabama Lions | 45c | 413.03$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed North Alabama Lions | 43c | 396.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Alabama Lions | 46c | 313.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 307.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.29 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked North Alabama Lions | 47c | 233.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Alabama Lions | 47c | 210.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 44c | 185.61$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed North Alabama Lions | 45c | 182.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 132.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Alabama Lions | 43c | 120.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 110.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…0c9cbacked North Alabama Lions | 46c | 107.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 100.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…c6fbbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 56c | 93.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 90.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed North Alabama Lions | 54c | 89.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed North Alabama Lions | 45c | 88.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 88.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed North Alabama Lions | 46c | 86.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed North Alabama Lions | 42c | 84.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked North Alabama Lions | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…f5f7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 63c | 79.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed North Alabama Lions | 46c | 76.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Alabama Lions | 45c | 72.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 43c | 70.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed North Alabama Lions | 44c | 67.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked North Alabama Lions | 44c | 67.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked North Alabama Lions | 44c | 67.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed North Alabama Lions | 44c | 67.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…409bbacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 66.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed North Alabama Lions | 43c | 66.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Alabama Lions | 47c | 64.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…3cc6backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 56c | 61.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 44c | 59.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 56c | 56.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked North Alabama Lions | 32c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…ba4cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 42.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed North Alabama Lions | 45c | 37.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…9d6bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Alabama Lions | 50c | 33.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 59c | 33.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked North Alabama Lions | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…360ebacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 27.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked North Alabama Lions | 46c | 26.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…c95cbacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 26.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed North Alabama Lions | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…b2d9backed North Alabama Lions | 45c | 23.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-6.5)this page
- North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast EaglesFlorida Gulf Coast Eagles won
- North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles: O/U 139.5Under won
- North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles: O/U 141.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-7.5)Florida Gulf Coast Eagles won
- Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-8.5)Florida Gulf Coast Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.